Montag, 27. Oktober 2008

Outlook in to the darkness of the Future

Well, after the Financial Crisis will end the Era of " Virtual Economy", what will be happenig between our three major powers? 

Freitag, 17. Oktober 2008

The greatest power in the world

The last two decades showed the world two or maybe three world politics tendencies: The extension of the EU is a clear example of the globalization and a fair mechanism to harmonize the interest of different nations and a joint approach to master the problems. The drive of sovereign states and individualization of their perception towards the unwanted political and social influences from abroad. A need for a good centralized structures and mechanisms of direct control. EU, Russia and China are the issuer and the masters of those tendencies but more ironically they are the holders of the historical experiences. For some of the readers the EU might seem to be too young to be valued as a historical developing path, but if you take a look at what did happened after the Napoleon Bonaparte and the role of Catholic faith in Europe the reasons for emergence of EU might become more clear.

So, I sum up: The necklace of EU, Russia and China is the world's most powerful driving force, forming a perfect developing, supplying and producing line in the geo-economical terms and holding an personal point of view on the developing in the future.

The last one is the main source for possible troubles.

Why not the USA?

First of all I'd like to present what I think was a reality for the last decade, is the fact that the political role of USA had become so latent and invisible that right now it might become a present reality.

Let me explain this. The USA since the 9/11 or after the breakdown of the SU had become a driving power of the world politics. Practically all of the foreign politics by the allies and opponents of the USA always implemented quasi support or counter towards the political statement of the US foreign policies. For example the pressure pt on the Chinese government to release the Yuan, was absorbed in Europe as a drive for further going liberalization of economy and in developing countries like India, Brazil a desire for more independent financial politics. Even the issue of North Korea only on the one hand had an positive effect on the other hand more countries now desire to hold weapons of mass destruction.

So, the US had influenced the world developing path, but only in the way the clouds and rain change our perception of the daytime. The position of power transformed US foreign policy to an omnipresent and almost natural force forming the environment, but without any particular influence on the long term tendencies nor power to do so. Of cause on the local level such as in Iraq, US intervention made a difference but to be honest it did not improved nor made the situation worse.

Consequentially, I made a choice to ignore the US issue in the Eurasian Continent as a US is not the natural power and is not perceived as such anywhere except the US itself.

Politmat- Foreign policy: The Clash of Europe, Russia and China

Hi I 'am GRB and I will publish here some of my essays about current past and future of a great and tensions political and social relationship between my favorite countries. Well I cannot be so sure to say that all I will be publishing must be true or right, nor I intend to attend some publicity or influence. The point of my writing is my real deep concern about the future of our world and the places I like the most.

If someone is writing about politics he must take care of using right terms or using some theory to ground up his or her thinking. Well I could not find an idea how to group the way I see the future. So may be this blog will help me to do so. And It will be nice if some of my readers would become more familiar with an non standard approach toward such a serious topic.